Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.141379 0.207761 0.284235 0.376452 0.482571 0.599114 0.735169
2025-11-30 0.057995 0.134744 0.240897 0.384947 0.565312 0.776050 1.034252
2025-12-07 0.022167 0.091794 0.207773 0.380540 0.609582 0.887476 1.237369
2025-12-14 0.003993 0.056673 0.172134 0.362951 0.630385 0.966027 1.398547
2025-12-21 0.000578 0.047057 0.172561 0.392818 0.710550 1.115980 1.644178
2025-12-28 NaN 0.039745 0.174140 0.422728 0.789855 1.264450 1.887984
2026-01-04 NaN 0.030513 0.167990 0.438524 0.848510 1.385888 2.098125
2026-01-11 NaN 0.028582 0.177367 0.479125 0.941898 1.552244 2.364340
2026-01-18 NaN 0.024752 0.180487 0.508684 1.019355 1.697909 2.604929
2026-01-25 NaN 0.017101 0.169437 0.512397 1.058738 1.793287 2.782248
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006873 0.139827 0.479024 1.041408 1.812196 2.861935
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001098 0.109893 0.438947 1.010442 1.810439 2.913420
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000002 0.094212 0.425349 1.020933 1.867352 3.044387
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.089524 0.434517 1.067454 1.974450 3.241573
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.079584 0.429788 1.090659 2.048585 3.395324
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.065174 0.411015 1.089464 2.087857 3.503019
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.070543 0.442888 1.172540 2.245842 3.766846
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.075873 0.474737 1.255715 2.404153 4.031360
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.075560 0.491532 1.313676 2.526959 4.249320
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.085016 0.534624 1.416031 2.712754 4.550523
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.090063 0.565935 1.498660 2.870786 4.815347
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.084971 0.569864 1.535188 2.963653 4.994427
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.066800 0.534517 1.503797 2.959344 5.044679